CD Lugo vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
55.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
CER
0 - 1
LUG
15%
23%
63%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
LUG
0 - 0
CEL
18%
23%
59%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
PON
2 - 1
LUG
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
LUG
0 - 1
DEP
17%
25%
58%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
CAD
3 - 1
LUG
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 0
HER
21%
25%
55%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
HER
1 - 5
GRA
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
MUR
1 - 1
HER
33%
26%
41%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
NUC
2 - 4
HER
9%
20%
71%
|
78 | 38 | 40 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
ALC
0 - 0
HER
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |