CD Lugo vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
12.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
54.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
18%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1984 |
LUG
3 - 2
BAR
69%
20%
12%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1984 |
ARE
0 - 1
LUG
50%
27%
23%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1984 |
LUG
2 - 0
ASP
59%
23%
18%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
CEL
1 - 0
LUG
85%
11%
4%
|
27 | 70 | 43 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1984 |
NOI
2 - 0
LUG
24%
29%
48%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1984 |
CEL
3 - 1
SAB
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1984 |
GRA
1 - 4
CEL
44%
29%
27%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1984 |
CEL
2 - 0
ATB
59%
25%
16%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
CEL
1 - 0
LUG
85%
11%
4%
|
70 | 27 | 43 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1984 |
PUE
1 - 1
CEL
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |