FC Lugano vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
35.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
LUG
1 - 0
BAS
18%
23%
60%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
SER
1 - 1
LUG
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
LAU
0 - 1
LUG
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
LUG
1 - 0
STG
27%
24%
49%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -3 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
FCV
1 - 1
LUG
34%
25%
41%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
ZUR
1 - 2
STG
37%
24%
39%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
ZUR
4 - 0
LAU
36%
25%
39%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
SER
2 - 1
ZUR
42%
26%
33%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
SIO
2 - 2
ZUR
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
ZUR
2 - 0
FCL
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +2 |