FC Lugano vs FC Wil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
27.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2012 |
WIL
1 - 1
LUG
47%
25%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
LUG
1 - 2
WIN
47%
25%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
LUG
0 - 2
WOH
65%
20%
14%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
BEL
2 - 0
LUG
43%
25%
32%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
LUG
1 - 1
LOC
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2012 |
WIL
1 - 1
LUG
47%
25%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
LOC
2 - 1
WIL
33%
26%
42%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
WIL
3 - 0
SCB
74%
17%
9%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2012 |
WIL
1 - 1
WIN
47%
24%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
FCA
1 - 2
WIL
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |