Challenge League Round 12

FC Lugano vs FC Wil analysis

FC Lugano FC Wil
55 ELO 54
-6.4% Tilt -1.5%
311º General ELO ranking 1118º
Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
43%
FC Lugano
25.8%
Draw
31.2%
FC Wil

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
FC Lugano
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31.2%
Win probability
FC Wil
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Lugano
-20%
+3%
FC Wil

ELO progression

FC Lugano
FC Wil
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Lugano
FC Lugano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Oct. 2006
FCV
FC Vaduz
1 - 0
FC Lugano
LUG
62%
21%
17%
56 59 3 0
14 Oct. 2006
LUG
FC Lugano
2 - 2
YF Juventus
YFJ
66%
21%
13%
56 44 12 0
08 Oct. 2006
BEL
AC Bellinzona
0 - 1
FC Lugano
LUG
45%
26%
29%
55 54 1 +1
01 Oct. 2006
LUG
FC Lugano
0 - 4
Basel
BAS
12%
18%
70%
56 84 28 -1
24 Sep. 2006
LUG
FC Lugano
1 - 2
La Chaux-de-Fonds
LAC
38%
26%
36%
56 59 3 0

Matches

FC Wil
FC Wil
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Oct. 2006
WIL
FC Wil
4 - 2
Yverdon
YVE
42%
26%
32%
53 60 7 0
13 Oct. 2006
KRI
SC Kriens
6 - 1
FC Wil
WIL
45%
25%
30%
54 55 1 -1
08 Oct. 2006
WIL
FC Wil
0 - 2
Winterthur
WIN
52%
24%
24%
56 54 2 -2
30 Sep. 2006
BRU
Brunnen
0 - 5
FC Wil
WIL
10%
16%
75%
55 22 33 +1
22 Sep. 2006
CON
Concordia Basel
1 - 0
FC Wil
WIL
46%
24%
30%
56 54 2 -1