FC Lugano vs Stade Nyonnais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
LUG
2 - 0
FCV
44%
24%
32%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
WOH
0 - 1
LUG
35%
25%
40%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
LUG
2 - 0
BEL
41%
25%
34%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 1
LUG
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
ETO
3 - 0
LUG
19%
22%
59%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Stade Nyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
STG
2 - 2
STA
72%
18%
10%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
STA
1 - 0
DEL
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
STA
3 - 0
KRI
46%
24%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
STA
0 - 2
WIN
49%
23%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
WIL
3 - 1
STA
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |