FC Lugano vs Servette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
44.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
BAS
4 - 4
LUG
74%
17%
9%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2020 |
LUG
1 - 0
ZUR
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
SIO
1 - 1
LUG
35%
26%
39%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2020 |
LUG
1 - 1
THU
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2020 |
FCL
3 - 3
LUG
49%
25%
27%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
SER
4 - 1
NEX
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2020 |
THU
5 - 1
SER
32%
25%
44%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
SER
2 - 2
BAS
20%
22%
58%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2020 |
YOB
4 - 2
SER
70%
18%
13%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2020 |
SER
1 - 1
STG
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |