Lugano II vs Mendrisio-Stabio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
17.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
EMM
0 - 1
LUG
39%
24%
37%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
LUG
1 - 0
BAD
36%
25%
39%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
TUG
4 - 2
LUG
71%
17%
12%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
LUG
2 - 1
GCB
64%
19%
17%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
LUZ
2 - 1
LUG
56%
21%
23%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mendrisio-Stabio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
MEN
0 - 1
LUZ
31%
25%
44%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
ZOF
3 - 2
MEN
52%
22%
26%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2009 |
MEN
0 - 2
RAP
22%
23%
55%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -2 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
MEN
1 - 0
CHI
15%
20%
65%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | +4 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
MEN
0 - 2
CHA
45%
25%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |