Lugano II vs Luzern II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
37.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2025 |
LUG
0 - 0
VEV
42%
25%
33%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2025 |
BRE
2 - 3
LUG
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
LUG
1 - 1
KRI
18%
22%
60%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
CHA
6 - 0
LUG
52%
24%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2025 |
LEC
3 - 2
LUG
54%
23%
24%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2025 |
BAV
3 - 1
LUZ
41%
23%
36%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
LUZ
0 - 4
YOU
50%
23%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
FCP
7 - 5
LUZ
30%
24%
46%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2025 |
LUZ
1 - 1
BAS
34%
24%
42%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
LUZ
1 - 3
CHA
47%
24%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |