Lugano II vs Biaschesi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
25.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
FCM
1 - 2
LUG
48%
24%
29%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
LUG
4 - 4
RAP
25%
22%
53%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
HON
1 - 1
LUG
63%
20%
17%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
LUG
2 - 5
FCG
49%
22%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
LUG
1 - 4
STG
35%
23%
42%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -3 |
Matches
Biaschesi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
GCB
1 - 1
YFJ
25%
24%
51%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ESC
0 - 0
GCB
71%
18%
12%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
GCB
0 - 3
MEN
51%
24%
25%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
LUZ
4 - 2
GCB
65%
20%
16%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
WIN
2 - 0
GCB
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |