Lugano II vs FC Balzers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
38.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
FCT
0 - 2
LUG
48%
25%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
LUG
2 - 2
FCW
21%
24%
55%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
LUG
0 - 4
GRA
27%
24%
49%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
MEN
3 - 0
LUG
51%
26%
24%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
LUG
3 - 1
TAV
68%
18%
14%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
FC Balzers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
FCB
1 - 0
GRA
25%
24%
52%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
MEN
0 - 1
FCB
49%
25%
26%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
FCB
2 - 0
TAV
61%
21%
19%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
FCM
3 - 0
FCB
54%
22%
24%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
DIE
1 - 0
FCB
48%
21%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |