Lugano II vs Chiasso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
56.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2010 |
GCB
2 - 1
LUG
43%
24%
33%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2010 |
LUG
1 - 4
LUZ
44%
24%
32%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
ZOF
2 - 1
LUG
50%
22%
28%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
CHA
2 - 0
LUG
39%
24%
37%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
LUG
4 - 1
SCH
51%
23%
26%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2010 |
CHI
0 - 0
EMM
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2010 |
CHI
0 - 0
CHA
75%
17%
9%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
BAD
2 - 4
CHI
27%
24%
49%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
CHI
3 - 0
TUG
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
LUZ
1 - 1
CHI
28%
24%
48%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |