Ludogorets III vs Ustrem Donchevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
8.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
FKR
0 - 5
LUD
12%
16%
72%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
LUD
4 - 0
FSV
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
BOT
0 - 2
LUD
7%
13%
81%
|
43 | 16 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2021 |
LUD
3 - 3
DUN
25%
23%
52%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
FTT
2 - 7
LUD
8%
15%
77%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Ustrem Donchevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
UST
0 - 1
DUN
11%
18%
71%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
CHE
6 - 0
UST
79%
14%
8%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
UST
1 - 3
SVA
15%
21%
65%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
SGT
2 - 0
UST
18%
18%
64%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
UST
14 - 0
PLA
89%
8%
3%
|
35 | 11 | 24 | 0 |