Luçon vs Caen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luçon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
STA
0 - 1
LUC
27%
26%
46%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
LUC
4 - 2
STP
40%
26%
35%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
CHE
1 - 1
LUC
53%
25%
23%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
LUC
2 - 3
LAV
32%
29%
39%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
YZE
2 - 0
LUC
52%
25%
24%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CAE
3 - 2
LAV
33%
28%
39%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
YZE
2 - 1
CAE
56%
23%
20%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CAE
3 - 4
LEM
41%
26%
33%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
LES
6 - 0
CAE
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
CAE
1 - 2
CAR
48%
25%
26%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |