Luco Canistro vs Recanatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luco Canistro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
ASB
1 - 2
LUC
31%
26%
43%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
LUC
2 - 3
SAN
32%
25%
43%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 1
LUC
65%
20%
15%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2010 |
LUC
0 - 0
ATE
32%
26%
43%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
REA
1 - 0
LUC
48%
24%
29%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
REC
1 - 1
ATE
32%
27%
41%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
USV
3 - 1
REC
31%
27%
42%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
REC
0 - 2
RCS
67%
21%
12%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2010 |
CIV
1 - 1
REC
58%
24%
19%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
REC
0 - 0
SSS
18%
25%
57%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | +1 |