Lucky Mile vs Kwai Tsing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
58%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-78%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucky Mile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
KWU
1 - 1
LUC
66%
19%
16%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
LUC
0 - 2
YTS
45%
23%
32%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
YTS
5 - 0
LUC
45%
22%
33%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -3 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
TMS
0 - 2
LUC
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
LUC
1 - 4
KWW
42%
25%
33%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Kwai Tsing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
TMS
0 - 2
KWA
41%
23%
37%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
KWA
4 - 0
ISD
78%
14%
9%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
FRE
0 - 3
KWA
10%
14%
76%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
KWA
3 - 0
CHE
23%
23%
54%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +4 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
KWA
3 - 1
KOC
80%
13%
7%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | +1 |