Oberliga Northeast-North Round 3

Luckenwalde vs Lichtenberg analysis

Luckenwalde Lichtenberg
37 ELO 35
16.4% Tilt 5.9%
3967º General ELO ranking 2832º
177º Country ELO ranking 124º
ELO win probability
54.5%
Luckenwalde
21%
Draw
24.5%
Lichtenberg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
Luckenwalde
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
24.5%
Win probability
Lichtenberg
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Luckenwalde
+13%
+43%
Lichtenberg

ELO progression

Luckenwalde
Lichtenberg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Luckenwalde
Luckenwalde
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Aug. 2014
BSC
BSC Süd 05
0 - 4
Luckenwalde
LUC
36%
24%
40%
35 30 5 0
01 Aug. 2014
LUC
Luckenwalde
1 - 1
Malchower SV
MAL
57%
21%
22%
35 34 1 0
08 Jun. 2014
LUC
Luckenwalde
2 - 2
Pommern Greifswald
POM
74%
15%
11%
35 27 8 0
01 Jun. 2014
TOR
Torgelower SV Greif
0 - 1
Luckenwalde
LUC
20%
22%
58%
35 23 12 0
24 May. 2014
LUC
Luckenwalde
2 - 2
Lichtenberg
LIC
46%
23%
31%
36 40 4 -1

Matches

Lichtenberg
Lichtenberg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Aug. 2014
LIC
Lichtenberg
1 - 2
Schönberg
SCH
52%
23%
25%
37 35 2 0
02 Aug. 2014
POM
Pommern Greifswald
1 - 2
Lichtenberg
LIC
26%
24%
50%
37 27 10 0
08 Jun. 2014
ALT
Altlüdersdorf
4 - 0
Lichtenberg
LIC
39%
24%
38%
38 33 5 -1
01 Jun. 2014
LIC
Lichtenberg
2 - 1
Malchower SV
MAL
56%
22%
21%
39 34 5 -1
24 May. 2014
LUC
Luckenwalde
2 - 2
Lichtenberg
LIC
46%
23%
31%
40 36 4 -1