Lucchese Libertas vs Viterbese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
30%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
PIA
0 - 0
ASL
40%
27%
33%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ASL
3 - 0
ACP
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
COM
1 - 0
ASL
64%
22%
15%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ASL
4 - 0
LRO
62%
21%
16%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
PON
2 - 4
ASL
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Viterbese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
SIE
2 - 0
VIT
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 1
LIV
32%
25%
44%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
PIA
2 - 1
VIT
31%
26%
43%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
GER
1 - 1
VIT
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
VIT
3 - 0
PON
62%
20%
17%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |