Lucchese Libertas vs Renate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ASL
2 - 1
VIT
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
PIA
0 - 0
ASL
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ASL
3 - 0
ACP
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
COM
1 - 0
ASL
64%
22%
15%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ASL
4 - 0
LRO
62%
21%
16%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Renate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
REN
2 - 2
GER
26%
29%
45%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ARZ
3 - 1
REN
58%
24%
18%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
REN
3 - 0
PON
38%
28%
35%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 0
REN
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
LIV
1 - 0
REN
74%
17%
9%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |