Lucchese Libertas vs Pisa SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.2%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
43.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
GRO
1 - 1
ASL
59%
23%
19%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
ASL
2 - 0
FOR
64%
21%
15%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ASC
3 - 1
ASL
63%
22%
16%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
ASL
3 - 1
LAQ
39%
28%
33%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 0
ASL
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Pisa SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
PIS
24%
26%
51%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
PIS
0 - 2
LAQ
58%
25%
17%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
GRO
0 - 1
PIS
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
PIS
0 - 1
ASC
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
PON
0 - 0
PIS
31%
27%
42%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |