Lucchese Libertas vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
24.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
ABN
1 - 1
ASL
38%
26%
35%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
ASL
1 - 0
COM
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
CAR
1 - 1
ASL
30%
26%
44%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
ASL
1 - 3
BRE
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
CTT
4 - 2
ASL
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
MOD
0 - 0
SPA
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
USC
2 - 1
MOD
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
MOD
0 - 0
PIS
35%
29%
36%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
ABN
2 - 0
MOD
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
MOD
0 - 1
BRE
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | -1 |