Lucchese Libertas vs Gozzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
ASL
2 - 2
USA
41%
27%
32%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 1
ASL
65%
21%
15%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
ASL
1 - 0
PIS
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2018 |
ARZ
0 - 0
ASL
58%
25%
18%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
PON
3 - 3
ASL
51%
26%
23%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Gozzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
GOZ
1 - 0
ABN
53%
25%
22%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
PIA
0 - 3
GOZ
30%
27%
44%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2019 |
GOZ
0 - 1
PIS
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
PIA
2 - 1
GOZ
55%
25%
20%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
GOZ
4 - 0
CUN
57%
24%
19%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |