Lucchese Libertas vs Chieti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
13.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
PIS
1 - 1
ASL
44%
29%
27%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
ASL
2 - 1
ACI
47%
28%
25%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
SAS
0 - 0
ASL
49%
28%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
ASL
3 - 2
GRO
36%
29%
35%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
NAP
1 - 0
ASL
64%
24%
13%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
CHI
1 - 2
SSM
34%
27%
39%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
PIS
0 - 0
CHI
57%
26%
17%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
CHI
1 - 1
MAS
36%
27%
37%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2006 |
CHI
1 - 2
VIR
26%
29%
45%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
ACI
1 - 0
CHI
54%
27%
19%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |