Lucchese Libertas vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
30.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
PON
3 - 1
ASL
44%
26%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ASL
2 - 0
RIM
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ASL
1 - 1
SAN
44%
28%
28%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ANC
3 - 0
ASL
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ASL
0 - 0
PIS
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ARZ
0 - 0
TER
38%
28%
34%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ANC
0 - 0
ARZ
64%
22%
14%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ARZ
0 - 1
PON
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ACP
0 - 2
ARZ
43%
28%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
ARZ
54%
25%
21%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |