Lucena vs Puerto Real CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
21.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
AGU
2 - 1
LUC
26%
25%
49%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
LUC
1 - 0
REC
49%
26%
25%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
BAR
0 - 1
LUC
43%
26%
32%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
LUC
3 - 0
POR
56%
25%
20%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
ANT
1 - 1
LUC
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Puerto Real CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
ARC
2 - 0
MON
48%
27%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
VVA
3 - 0
ARC
52%
24%
24%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
ARC
3 - 0
JER
29%
26%
45%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +3 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
RLI
0 - 1
ARC
19%
23%
58%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
ARC
0 - 1
UDT
69%
19%
12%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |