Lucena vs RB Linense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
BET
0 - 0
LUC
43%
28%
30%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
LUC
1 - 1
SPO
75%
17%
8%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
AGD
0 - 0
LUC
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
LUC
1 - 0
RJA
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
POL
0 - 2
LUC
36%
28%
37%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
RB Linense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 0
CPC
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CFB
2 - 1
BAL
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
BET
1 - 0
BAL
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
BAL
2 - 1
SPO
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
AGD
2 - 1
BAL
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |