Lucena vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
15.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
CAD
0 - 1
LUC
55%
24%
21%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
MAI
2 - 2
LUC
58%
24%
19%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
LUC
2 - 1
SAN
55%
24%
21%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
COR
3 - 0
LUC
55%
24%
21%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1992 |
AGD
1 - 2
LUC
39%
28%
33%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
SFE
4 - 1
COR
33%
29%
38%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
ECI
2 - 1
SFE
80%
15%
6%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
SFE
2 - 2
SJU
42%
29%
29%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
MAI
2 - 0
SFE
69%
20%
11%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1992 |
SFE
0 - 0
SAN
51%
26%
24%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |