Lucena vs Cfba Caravaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
16.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CPC
1 - 1
LUC
36%
29%
35%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
LUC
0 - 0
BAL
61%
23%
17%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
BET
0 - 0
LUC
43%
28%
30%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
LUC
1 - 1
SPO
75%
17%
8%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
AGD
0 - 0
LUC
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cfba Caravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CFB
1 - 1
LOR
58%
23%
20%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
CFB
0 - 0
CPC
45%
27%
29%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 2
CFB
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CFB
2 - 1
BAL
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
CAD
0 - 0
CFB
83%
13%
5%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |