Lucena vs Cádiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
63.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
13%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
ROQ
3 - 0
LUC
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
LUC
0 - 2
SEV
44%
27%
29%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
PUE
3 - 1
LUC
51%
27%
22%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
LUC
0 - 1
JUM
78%
15%
7%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
CFB
2 - 2
LUC
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cádiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
CAD
4 - 1
ECI
80%
14%
6%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
SRQ
1 - 0
CAD
15%
23%
63%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
CAD
1 - 0
AGD
71%
19%
11%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
POL
3 - 2
CAD
31%
27%
43%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
CAD
0 - 1
BET
77%
16%
7%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | -1 |