Lucena vs Arcos CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
LUC
1 - 0
CRD
55%
25%
20%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
BAR
0 - 1
LUC
63%
21%
16%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
LUC
1 - 1
BAL
38%
28%
34%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
PAL
0 - 0
LUC
40%
28%
32%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
LUC
3 - 0
JER
52%
27%
22%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Arcos CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
ARC
3 - 2
BAR
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
BAL
3 - 0
ARC
44%
26%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
ARC
2 - 0
PAL
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
JER
1 - 1
ARC
34%
25%
41%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
ARC
1 - 1
AYA
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |