Lucena vs Albacete analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
40%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
LOR
1 - 0
LUC
55%
25%
21%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
LUC
67%
21%
13%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
LUC
1 - 1
PAL
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ECI
0 - 2
LUC
32%
28%
40%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
LUC
2 - 1
ALG
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Albacete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ALB
2 - 0
PAL
73%
18%
9%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ECI
0 - 2
ALB
22%
27%
51%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ALB
1 - 1
ALG
74%
18%
9%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
CAD
4 - 0
ALB
37%
28%
34%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ALB
0 - 0
SAN
76%
17%
7%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |