Lucecor vs Apademar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
36.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucecor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
LUC
0 - 2
MON
38%
24%
39%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ADF
3 - 1
LUC
30%
23%
48%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
LUC
2 - 2
VIL
33%
23%
44%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
COS
4 - 1
LUC
32%
23%
45%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
LUC
1 - 0
LEO
62%
20%
19%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Apademar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CDA
1 - 6
PAQ
61%
19%
20%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MON
0 - 1
CDA
55%
20%
24%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CDA
0 - 2
PEN
55%
21%
24%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ADF
1 - 2
CDA
40%
22%
38%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CDA
4 - 0
ATC
37%
22%
41%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |