VfB Lübeck vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
63.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
LUB
0 - 2
MAG
38%
26%
36%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
LUB
1 - 1
HAL
37%
29%
33%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
MEU
3 - 3
LUB
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
HAN
3 - 0
LUB
49%
26%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
LUB
3 - 0
TEN
59%
23%
19%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2010 |
AAA
1 - 1
MSV
50%
25%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
MSV
0 - 1
KSC
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
MSV
2 - 3
PAD
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2010 |
AUG
2 - 0
MSV
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
MSV
1 - 1
SGF
54%
24%
23%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |