VfB Lübeck vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2004 |
EIN
4 - 2
LUB
34%
25%
41%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
LUB
0 - 3
SSV
60%
22%
19%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
UNT
0 - 1
LUB
48%
24%
28%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2004 |
LUB
1 - 1
MSV
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
ARB
1 - 3
LUB
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
FCU
2 - 1
MSV
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
SGF
2 - 2
FCU
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
FCU
3 - 0
ERZ
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2004 |
COT
2 - 1
FCU
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
FCU
1 - 1
M05
32%
27%
42%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |