Luarca CF vs Barcia CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
44.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luarca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
MUR
2 - 0
LUA
28%
23%
50%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
LUA
0 - 4
LLA
24%
23%
53%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
LUA
1 - 1
TUR
33%
23%
44%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
LUA
2 - 0
VCD
49%
24%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
NAV
1 - 0
LUA
40%
26%
34%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Barcia CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 0
REA
34%
22%
44%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 0
BAR
27%
24%
49%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 1
CAN
59%
21%
20%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 1
BAR
46%
24%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 2
GIN
32%
23%
45%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |