Luarca CF vs Astur Vegadense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
10.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luarca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
PDV
1 - 2
LUA
17%
19%
64%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
LUA
0 - 0
TAP
60%
20%
20%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
GUI
0 - 2
LUA
10%
16%
74%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
LUA
9 - 2
SCB
89%
8%
2%
|
16 | 5 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
CDP
1 - 8
LUA
5%
13%
82%
|
16 | 5 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Astur Vegadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
AST
2 - 0
REA
70%
19%
11%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
AST
2 - 1
PDV
38%
24%
37%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
NAR
3 - 2
AST
52%
22%
26%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
AST
0 - 2
TAP
37%
24%
39%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
MCU
2 - 2
AST
41%
25%
34%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |