LSF vs BGA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.1%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LSF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
LSF
0 - 1
VIR
73%
17%
11%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
B19
1 - 1
LSF
47%
25%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
LSF
1 - 0
B19
38%
25%
37%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
VAN
2 - 0
LSF
58%
22%
21%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
LSF
2 - 1
BAL
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
BGA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
BGA
1 - 2
B19
15%
21%
65%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
FRE
1 - 1
BGA
79%
13%
8%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
BGA
0 - 0
VAN
17%
23%
60%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
BAL
2 - 1
BGA
76%
15%
9%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
BGA
0 - 0
KAS
21%
22%
57%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +1 |