Loures vs Praiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
55.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loures
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
FAT
1 - 1
LOU
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
VIL
3 - 0
LOU
62%
22%
17%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
LOU
1 - 1
SAC
27%
28%
45%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
1DE
0 - 0
LOU
33%
27%
40%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
LOU
1 - 3
SIN
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Praiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
PRA
0 - 0
VIL
48%
26%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
PRA
3 - 0
CAL
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
1DE
1 - 1
PRA
17%
23%
61%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
TOR
2 - 1
PRA
30%
25%
45%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
PRA
1 - 0
LUS
78%
15%
8%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |