Loures vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loures
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ARM
0 - 3
LOU
13%
20%
67%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ORI
1 - 1
LOU
51%
25%
24%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
LOU
1 - 1
ALJ
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
VIA
0 - 2
LOU
15%
21%
64%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CAS
3 - 1
LOU
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
FAB
2 - 4
CAS
18%
25%
57%
|
25 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
FAB
0 - 1
SIN
19%
24%
58%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
VIA
3 - 3
FAB
41%
22%
37%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ARM
0 - 2
FAB
35%
22%
43%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
FAB
0 - 2
ORI
18%
22%
61%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | -2 |