Loures vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
26.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loures
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
SAC
1 - 1
LOU
35%
27%
39%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
LOU
1 - 0
SIN
47%
25%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
ALV
1 - 0
LOU
69%
20%
11%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
LOU
2 - 3
TOR
29%
28%
44%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
PER
0 - 0
LOU
43%
25%
32%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
LOU
0 - 1
CAL
13%
22%
65%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 1
ALM
76%
15%
9%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
SAC
0 - 1
CAL
39%
26%
36%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 3
TOR
30%
29%
41%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
ALV
0 - 1
CAL
69%
20%
12%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |