Loures vs FC Alverca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
39.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loures
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
LOU
0 - 2
GON
55%
24%
21%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
GDU
0 - 3
LOU
14%
20%
66%
|
39 | 7 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
LOU
1 - 1
SAC
75%
16%
9%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ALV
2 - 1
LOU
60%
23%
17%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
LOU
1 - 0
OLI
72%
16%
12%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ALV
3 - 0
USA
76%
16%
8%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
ALV
2 - 1
CAM
67%
19%
14%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
ALV
3 - 0
SCG
71%
17%
12%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
ALV
1 - 0
LOU
91%
7%
2%
|
44 | 12 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
PIN
1 - 2
ALV
42%
26%
33%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |