Lourdes vs Aoiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
29.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lourdes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
PEN
3 - 0
LOU
39%
25%
36%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
LOU
1 - 1
IDO
34%
25%
41%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MUR
0 - 0
LOU
42%
25%
33%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
LOU
0 - 2
CDT
66%
18%
16%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
LOU
3 - 2
PEN
51%
23%
26%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Aoiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
IDO
0 - 2
AOI
62%
22%
16%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
AOI
0 - 1
CDT
51%
23%
27%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ALU
2 - 2
AOI
45%
25%
30%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
AOI
0 - 3
JUA
47%
25%
29%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
AOI
1 - 0
BET
37%
25%
39%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |