Lourdes vs AD San Juan B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
11.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lourdes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CAV
0 - 1
LOU
24%
23%
53%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
LOU
3 - 1
AVA
65%
19%
16%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ART
0 - 4
LOU
15%
21%
64%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
LOU
3 - 0
BUÑ
82%
13%
6%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
BET
2 - 6
LOU
35%
22%
43%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
AD San Juan B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
JUA
3 - 0
AVA
35%
24%
40%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
BUÑ
1 - 2
JUA
34%
24%
42%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
JUA
0 - 0
ZIR
44%
25%
32%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
JUA
1 - 1
AZK
37%
25%
39%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CDC
1 - 0
JUA
57%
22%
22%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |