Louletano vs Estrela Vendas Novas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
11%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-78%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louletano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 2
LOU
70%
19%
12%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
LOU
2 - 0
PIN
32%
27%
42%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
MON
1 - 2
LOU
28%
22%
50%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
LOU
2 - 1
MOU
40%
27%
33%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
OPE
1 - 2
LOU
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Estrela Vendas Novas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
EVN
2 - 0
ALM
31%
22%
47%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
2 - 0
EVN
69%
17%
15%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
EVN
0 - 1
ARM
25%
21%
54%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
FAR
4 - 1
EVN
84%
12%
4%
|
29 | 59 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
EVN
1 - 1
FCC
39%
23%
39%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |