Louisville City vs North Carolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
28.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louisville City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 2
LOU
28%
26%
46%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
LOU
5 - 1
AFC
73%
17%
10%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 1
LOU
28%
25%
48%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2019 |
LOU
3 - 0
LOU
20%
23%
58%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
LOU
0 - 1
PHU
70%
19%
12%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2019 |
CAR
4 - 2
TAM
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
CAR
5 - 0
PIT
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
MEM
1 - 2
CAR
29%
26%
46%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 2
IND
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
CAR
4 - 2
AFC
77%
15%
8%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |