Loughgall vs Harland & Wolff Welders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
BAL
1 - 1
LOU
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
LOU
1 - 0
DUN
47%
26%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
BAN
1 - 1
LOU
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
BAN
1 - 3
LOU
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
LOU
2 - 0
POR
72%
17%
11%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Harland & Wolff Welders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2008 |
COA
3 - 0
HAR
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
HAR
4 - 3
BAN
24%
26%
50%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
LCE
3 - 2
HAR
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
HAR
2 - 1
BAN
28%
28%
45%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
POR
0 - 0
HAR
32%
27%
41%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |