Loudoun United vs New York RB II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
46.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loudoun United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
LOU
0 - 1
PIT
18%
24%
59%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
PHU
4 - 0
LOU
40%
24%
36%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
LOU
1 - 1
PHU
66%
18%
16%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
HAA
2 - 1
LOU
66%
19%
16%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
PIT
3 - 0
LOU
69%
20%
12%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
New York RB II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
NYO
0 - 3
CAR
44%
24%
32%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
NYO
5 - 4
PHU
68%
17%
15%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
AFC
5 - 3
NYO
33%
21%
45%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
HAA
3 - 1
NYO
41%
23%
36%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
NYO
6 - 0
PHU
73%
15%
11%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |