Loudoun United vs Miami FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
59.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loudoun United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
LOU
0 - 2
HAA
25%
24%
51%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
LOU
2 - 1
PIT
18%
23%
59%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
CHA
3 - 0
LOU
65%
21%
14%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
HAA
2 - 1
LOU
71%
18%
12%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
TAM
2 - 1
LOU
73%
18%
10%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Miami FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
MIA
2 - 1
TAM
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
NYO
1 - 1
MIA
28%
23%
49%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
MIA
2 - 1
CHA
48%
25%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
MIA
0 - 1
BLE
57%
22%
21%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 1
MIA
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |