Lota Schwager vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
38.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lota Schwager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
LOT
1 - 0
COQ
32%
28%
41%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
USF
0 - 1
LOT
75%
18%
7%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
LOT
0 - 0
SAN
25%
27%
49%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
LOT
4 - 1
NTA
43%
27%
31%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
LOT
74%
17%
9%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CON
4 - 1
MAG
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 2
CON
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
COQ
1 - 0
CON
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
SAN
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
BAR
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |