Lorient vs Montpellier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
54.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
LOR
77%
15%
8%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
LOR
2 - 0
LEN
24%
25%
51%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
NAN
4 - 2
LOR
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
LIL
3 - 1
LOR
60%
24%
16%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
LOR
0 - 0
ANG
34%
28%
38%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
MPL
0 - 1
LIL
33%
25%
42%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
ASS
3 - 1
MPL
24%
25%
51%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
MPL
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
MPL
3 - 2
MON
35%
25%
41%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
MPL
0 - 1
TRO
67%
20%
13%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | -1 |